Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000537 0.000612 0.000690 0.000780 0.000879 0.000984 0.001105
2026-02-01 0.000421 0.000523 0.000640 0.000780 0.000945 0.001131 0.001356
2026-02-08 0.000343 0.000455 0.000588 0.000756 0.000960 0.001200 0.001499
2026-02-15 0.000287 0.000403 0.000547 0.000735 0.000974 0.001261 0.001631
2026-02-22 0.000250 0.000369 0.000523 0.000731 0.001002 0.001338 0.001780
2026-03-01 0.000221 0.000343 0.000504 0.000731 0.001033 0.001415 0.001930
2026-03-08 0.000195 0.000315 0.000482 0.000721 0.001050 0.001474 0.002056
2026-03-15 0.000171 0.000290 0.000459 0.000710 0.001061 0.001524 0.002171
2026-03-22 0.000160 0.000282 0.000460 0.000729 0.001114 0.001631 0.002362
2026-03-29 0.000148 0.000271 0.000455 0.000740 0.001156 0.001722 0.002534
2026-04-05 0.000132 0.000252 0.000438 0.000732 0.001169 0.001774 0.002653
2026-04-12 0.000118 0.000235 0.000421 0.000723 0.001179 0.001820 0.002766
2026-04-19 0.000109 0.000226 0.000416 0.000730 0.001213 0.001904 0.002933
2026-04-26 0.000100 0.000215 0.000407 0.000732 0.001240 0.001976 0.003086
2026-05-03 0.000087 0.000195 0.000383 0.000708 0.001226 0.001988 0.003153
2026-05-10 0.000076 0.000179 0.000363 0.000689 0.001218 0.002008 0.003231
2026-05-17 0.000069 0.000169 0.000353 0.000685 0.001233 0.002062 0.003359
2026-05-24 0.000063 0.000161 0.000345 0.000684 0.001253 0.002124 0.003499
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000151 0.000333 0.000676 0.001260 0.002165 0.003609
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000141 0.000320 0.000664 0.001261 0.002197 0.003706
2026-06-14 0.000049 0.000139 0.000324 0.000683 0.001312 0.002308 0.003925
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000136 0.000323 0.000693 0.001350 0.002399 0.004114
2026-06-28 0.000041 0.000128 0.000313 0.000686 0.001356 0.002440 0.004227